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CME: Market Volatility: Headwinds, from Trade War to Rates, in 2019?

CME: Market Volatility: Headwinds, from Trade War to Rates, in 2019?

Volatility in 2019 could be shaped to a large extent by major policy changes that influenced markets this year, from the still unresolved trade war with China, aluminum and steel tariffs, the fading benefits of the corporate tax cuts and possible lag effects of the Fed’s multiple rate hikes.

Highlights

  • Corporate tax cuts could make for tough earnings growth comparisons in 2019

  • Could economic impact of Fed hikes show up in 2019 as yield curve flattens?

  • Tariffs on steel and aluminum exacerbate problems in auto industry

  • Trade war with China remains unresolved, could stoke volatility in 2019

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